Why International Stocks Are Beating the S&P + How Scott Invests his Money
Episode
21 min
Read time
2 min
AI-Generated Summary
Key Takeaways
- ✓International stock rotation: Developed markets outside the US are up 48% on a rolling one-year basis, emerging markets up 55%, versus the S&P's 34%. Year-to-date in 2026, the S&P is down 3% while international markets remain positive. Every international style category — growth, momentum, quality — is outperforming its US equivalent, making global allocation a portfolio differentiator right now.
- ✓Valuation gap as opportunity: Emerging markets trade at 13.5x forward earnings versus developed markets at 20x and the S&P at 19x. JPMorgan forecasts 40% earnings-per-share growth in emerging markets for 2026. This combination of cheap valuations plus strong earnings growth creates simultaneous multiple expansion and earnings expansion — a dual tailwind most investors rarely capture together.
- ✓S&P concentration risk: Investors holding SPY are not diversified. The top 10 S&P 500 stocks now represent 40% of the index — more than double their 19% share in 2015 and the highest concentration since 1972. By contrast, the top 10 stocks in the international MSCI index represent only 13%, making global diversification a structural risk-reduction move, not just a return chase.
- ✓Galloway's personal investment framework: His portfolio operates on three pillars — long-hold public stocks like Apple and Amazon placed in a trust, private deals only where he has a structural edge (board seat, fee-free tier-one VC access, or equity kickers), and real estate concentrated in five ultra-wealthy cities: London, New York, Palm Beach, Aspen, and Dubai. Angel investing is explicitly excluded.
- ✓Education inequality by spending: US private schools spend roughly $72,000 per student annually versus $10,000–$15,000 in low-income public schools. Over 12 years, that gap compounds to $900,000 versus $180,000 per child. This spending disparity translates directly into a 370-point SAT score advantage for high-income students, and Galloway argues income-based affirmative action — not race-based — is the targeted policy response.
What It Covers
Scott Galloway answers three audience questions from South by Southwest covering his contrarian 2025 prediction that international stocks would outperform the S&P 500 (now confirmed), his personal three-pillar investment strategy across public stocks, private deals, and real estate, and the structural challenges facing underpaid teachers in an AI-disrupted classroom.
Key Questions Answered
- •International stock rotation: Developed markets outside the US are up 48% on a rolling one-year basis, emerging markets up 55%, versus the S&P's 34%. Year-to-date in 2026, the S&P is down 3% while international markets remain positive. Every international style category — growth, momentum, quality — is outperforming its US equivalent, making global allocation a portfolio differentiator right now.
- •Valuation gap as opportunity: Emerging markets trade at 13.5x forward earnings versus developed markets at 20x and the S&P at 19x. JPMorgan forecasts 40% earnings-per-share growth in emerging markets for 2026. This combination of cheap valuations plus strong earnings growth creates simultaneous multiple expansion and earnings expansion — a dual tailwind most investors rarely capture together.
- •S&P concentration risk: Investors holding SPY are not diversified. The top 10 S&P 500 stocks now represent 40% of the index — more than double their 19% share in 2015 and the highest concentration since 1972. By contrast, the top 10 stocks in the international MSCI index represent only 13%, making global diversification a structural risk-reduction move, not just a return chase.
- •Galloway's personal investment framework: His portfolio operates on three pillars — long-hold public stocks like Apple and Amazon placed in a trust, private deals only where he has a structural edge (board seat, fee-free tier-one VC access, or equity kickers), and real estate concentrated in five ultra-wealthy cities: London, New York, Palm Beach, Aspen, and Dubai. Angel investing is explicitly excluded.
- •Education inequality by spending: US private schools spend roughly $72,000 per student annually versus $10,000–$15,000 in low-income public schools. Over 12 years, that gap compounds to $900,000 versus $180,000 per child. This spending disparity translates directly into a 370-point SAT score advantage for high-income students, and Galloway argues income-based affirmative action — not race-based — is the targeted policy response.
Notable Moment
Galloway warns that calling teachers "heroes" is actually a signal they are being exploited — underpaid by roughly 30% compared to similarly educated workers while working ten hours beyond their contracted weekly hours — and argues the label substitutes for fair compensation rather than delivering it.
You just read a 3-minute summary of a 18-minute episode.
Get The Prof G Pod summarized like this every Monday — plus up to 2 more podcasts, free.
Pick Your Podcasts — FreeKeep Reading
More from The Prof G Pod
No Mercy / No Malice: The Reckoning
May 2 · 15 min
Up First (NPR)
Spirit Airlines Folds, Abortion Pills, Government Debt
May 2
More from The Prof G Pod
Can AI Help You Start a Company? + What Social Media Regulation Really Means
May 1 · 21 min
The Daily (NYT)
What Does Tucker Carlson Really Believe? I Went to Maine to Find Out.
May 2
More from The Prof G Pod
We summarize every new episode. Want them in your inbox?
No Mercy / No Malice: The Reckoning
Can AI Help You Start a Company? + What Social Media Regulation Really Means
The Iran War Has No Exit — ft. Ian Bremmer
Raging Moderates: Trump Blames Democrats, Demands His Ballroom, and Attacks Jimmy Kimmel Again (ft. Sen. Rand Paul)
China Decode: The U.S. vs China AI Battle Is Getting Ugly
Similar Episodes
Related episodes from other podcasts
Up First (NPR)
May 2
Spirit Airlines Folds, Abortion Pills, Government Debt
The Daily (NYT)
May 2
What Does Tucker Carlson Really Believe? I Went to Maine to Find Out.
20VC (20 Minute VC)
May 2
20VC: Inside Clay's Sales Playbook Scaling to $100M ARR | How to Set Sales Comp Plans | How to Read Sales Talent Linkedin Profiles | What Profiles to Hire & Fire | How to Increase Performance and Speed in Sales Teams with Becca Lindquist
Masters in Business
May 1
Building 'The World's Alternative Investment Marketplace' with Lawrence Calcano
This Week in Startups
May 1
Can an AI Agent Legally Own a Company? Christian van der Henst's Wild Experiment| E2283
This podcast is featured in Best Business Podcasts (2026) — ranked and reviewed with AI summaries.
You're clearly into The Prof G Pod.
Every Monday, we deliver AI summaries of the latest episodes from The Prof G Pod and 192+ other podcasts. Free for up to 3 shows.
Start My Monday DigestNo credit card · Unsubscribe anytime